El Nino, La Nina forecast: Agencies grapple with prediction challenges

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El Nino, La Nina forecast: Agencies grapple with prediction challenges - Business Standard

Quick Summary:

Predicting the onset and intensity of the weather-roiling El Niño and La Niña events is crucial for global markets, and meteorologists need to get the messaging right or risk sparking confusion and backlash.

ENSO is monitored using indexes that measure deviations in Pacific Ocean temperatures from averages in preceding decades, and with the world getting hotter, there are concerns about overestimating El Niños and underestimating La Niñas.

The WMO, a United Nations agency that already issues ENSO outlooks by drawing on forecasts from several dozen meteorological centers worldwide, is creating a new “one-stop repository” to provide more detailed and frequent information.