Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan delivered a detailed analysis in a dispatch dated March 25, 2025, stating, "Now is the best time in history to purchase bitcoin (on a risk-adjusted basis).” The memo, which includes reflections on Bitcoin’s early days and an assessment of its biggest milestones, offers insight into why Bitwise believes the leading digital asset’s risk profile has shifted dramatically in recent years.
Quoting Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital, Hougan points to the immediate query: "(I)f crypto is a viable long-term competitor to the US dollar, why on earth would we be promoting this direct competitor to our being the world’s reserve currency? ” In Hougan’s assessment, the US government is positioning Bitcoin as a hedge rather than relinquishing monetary dominance.
"When bitcoin first launched, there was no guarantee it would even work.[…] The incredible thing about bitcoin is it has slowly but surely knocked down each and every one of these existential risks over time,” writes Hougan, underscoring his view that Bitcoin’s evolutionary path has been one of measured resilience.
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