Sympathy for the sovereign credit analyst

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The story "Sympathy for the sovereign credit analyst" was covered 5 days ago by Financial Times, a news publisher based in United States.

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Financial Times 5d ago

Sympathy for the sovereign credit analyst - Financial Times

Quick Summary:

Back in 2011, the rating agency projected net debt to rise to 78 per cent of GDP in ten years’ time.

We got in touch with one of the seven — David Riley, who was Fitch’s co-head of sovereign ratings and lead analyst on the 2011 Italian downgrade — to ask how it felt being on the wrong end of a large pointy stick being wielded by a disgruntled state.

And that’s the job of a rating analyst — provide an assessment as to whether the chances of this happening over the next five years might be the kind of 0.0 per cent incidence of default attached to a AAA rating, or a 0.1 per cent chance that might be attached to a AA rating.